THE DRAGON’S EYE

Official Publication of US-China Peoples Friendship Association, Chicago Chapter, www.uscpfa.org/chicago

Roger Noback, Chapter President and Editor, 630/762-8225, rogernoback@msn.com                                Nov. 18, 2007

“The only way to have a friend is to be one.” – Ralph Waldo Emerson

Scheduled venue, time, topic, and activity for the USCPFA November 18, 2007 meeting

are 2-4 p.m. @ The Phoenix Inn, 608 Davis St., EVANSTON 60201 (Davis St. & Chicago Av.)

(847/475-7782), a short walk from the Davis St. “EL” stop in Evanston

Trade Sanctions Vs. China:

The Sleeping “Countervailing Duty” Dragon Awakes Breathing Fire

(it’s a Western style Dragon with big teeth)

Presented by Thomas M. Keating, Esq.,  Partner, Hodes Keating & Pilon

            Anyone who wants to have a perspective on the future competitiveness of goods imported from China, and the future of the Chinese economy, should plan to attend this talk.

Countervailing duties may be assessed by the U.S. Commerce Department against goods exported to the U.S. by companies which receive impermissible subsidies from foreign governments, and such duties may be significantly higher than duties levied for other customs violations, such as “dumping” (exporting goods at price levels below price levels of the exporting country).

            During the Cold War, however, countervailing duties were not assessed against imports from non-market, state-owned communist style countries, where the businesses of all companies were in effect subsidized.  This had the effect of weaning such state-owned economies into international trade with countries with free enterprise economies, and the communist countries eventual adoption of more free market attributes.  Since China had a state-owned economy during such period, exports from China were accorded such treatment, and countervailing duties were not assessed by the U.S. for subsidies by the Chinese government to Chinese exporters.

            That situation changed dramatically with the decision in the Glossy Paper Case in March, 2007, when the U.S. government ruled, for the first time, on a tentative basis, that imports into the U.S. which were exported by companies in China which received impermissible subsidies from the Chinese government, would have countervailing duties assessed against such exports, with the countervailable subsidies ranging from approximately 10-20%.  A long list of other U.S. companies have filed actions for the assessment of countervailing duties against Chinese exports, and more have announced an intention to file such cases.  A final decision in the Glossy Paper Case was originally expected to be handed down in November, 2007.

            If the tentative decision in the Glossy Paper Case is upheld and made final, such decision can be expected to have significant and potentially severe effects on Chinese companies and their exports to the U.S. through dramatic decreases in price competitiveness.  Such result would risk being further exacerbated by the argument that an artificially low currency also constitutes an impermissible subsidy under Countervailing Duty principles.

            The arguments of both sides and the Glossy Paper case decision, and the possible application of WTO rules, will be discussed in Tom’s talk.

            BIO.  Tom Keating has practiced Customs and International Trade Law for over 20 years, and served as Chair of the Customs and International Trade Law Committee of the Chicago Bar Association (and of the International and Immigration Law Section Council of the Illinois State Bar Association (1992-3).  He is also past President of the International Trade Club of Chicago (1994-5), the oldest continuously operating international trade organization in the U.S.,  and remains on such organization’s board of directors.

The Annual China Symposium 2008 is presented by the USCPFA-Chi.Chap. on Sat., Jan. 26, 2008 and hosted in 2008 by the University of Chicago and its Center for East Asian Studies at its International House.  A SAVE THE DATE Announcement and Speakers Chart is enclosed.

This month’s talk continues our Chinese Economy and Business Series, which has included the following talks: Publicly Traded Stocks of Chinese Companies in the US and China in June 2006 (just before the subsequent dramatic increase in prices of such stocks) and the March 2007 talk on Chinese Currency Appreciation and Stock Investments.

The regular monthly Chapter meeting includes a delicious traditional Chinese multi-course meal (with informative table conversation) from 2-3pm, and the hour long luncheon talk (with Q&A) from 3-4 pm; and all this is only $15.

            Please renew your membership for Calendar Year 2007 if you haven’t yet done so.           CfaDE111807Draft2Emal